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  • "Pole-Axis System" Theory: Review and Practice
    LU Yuqi
    Acta Geographica Sinica. 2024, 79(12): 3015-3029. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb202412006

    Yangtze River Delta, as a pivotal region where the coastal axis and the riverside axis intersect, is characterized by complexity, diversity and typicality of the spatial structural evolution. Therefore, understanding its evolutionary pattern and constructing a theoretical model has important theoretical significance and application value. According to the core-periphery structure theory, the Yangtze River Delta can be divided into a core area that is centered on the Taihu Lake Basin and remaining periphery areas. However, due to its location at the junction of the river and the sea, a gateway area has emerged within the periphery area, thus forming a spatial structure that is composed of the core area and the gateway area. In the early period, the core area was centered on Suzhou, and a five-tier central place structure became well established since ancient times. However, the gateway area kept evolving and underwent three main changes: in ancient times, the gateway area was centered on Yangzhou, forming the canal gateway cluster; in the modern age, the gateway area became centered on Shanghai, forming an offshore gateway cluster; and in the contemporary era, the gateway area became centered on Ningbo, forming an oceanic gateway cluster. Their corresponding navigation capacities were 500 t, 10,000 t, and 200,000 t, respectively. Therefore, in addition to the existing central place theory and seaport spatial structure theory, the spatial structure evolution of the Yangtze River Delta presents a new evolutionary model: namely, the fusion evolutionary model of central places and port gateways. According to this model, in the early period, it was an endogenous evolution of the core area's spatial structure, which was in line with Christaller's hexagonal structure; while in modern times, the evolution of the spatial structure of the Yangtze River Delta was no longer dominated by central places, but rather, it became dominated by the gateway areas, making the k = 3 market principle turn into the k = 4 transportation principle. In this way, the Yangtze River Delta provides a globally exemplary empirical case for validating the process test of the central place theory, analyzing functional attributes of urban centrality and gateway, and refining the relevant theoretical model.

  • Special Column: New Trends in Subjective Well-Being of China's Migrant Population from a Gender Perspective
    GU Moli, TANG Shuangshuang
    South China Geographical Journal. 2024, 2(4): 1-13. https://doi.org/10.20125/j.2097-2245.202404001

    The rapid pace of urbanization and the continuous evolution of social attitudes underscore the importance of examining subjective well-being among migrants from a gender perspective. Based on the literature in the Web of Science Core Collection database, CiteSpace was used to analyze the related literature econometrically. The research on migrants' subjective well-being from the gender perspective is systematized in terms of relevant theories, temporal and spatial evolution characteristics, research hotspots, regional differences, and so on. The findings indicate that theories about subjective well-being are evolving at a rapid pace, with a research trend exhibiting a fluctuating upward trajectory. The research area has a strong localization. The main topics of interest in current research include: multidimensional characteristics, family well-being, social problems, and group differences. Concurrently, domestic and international research trends exhibit differentiation, which is reflected in the research theme, object, perspective, and other aspects. It is proposed that Chinese migrant women exhibit distinctive characteristics that warrant further investigation. In the future, academics should strive to enhance and expand the research on subjective well-being by focusing on themes such as the multifaceted effects and underlying mechanisms of subjective well-being, China's socio-cultural context, and geographic perspectives.

  • Theory and Methodology Exploration
    ZHAO Wenwu, YIN Caichun, ZHANG Junze, FU Bojie
    Acta Geographica Sinica. 2024, 79(11): 2699-2720. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb202411001

    Sustainable development is a significant scientific issue of global concern. Geography, as a comprehensive discipline focusing on the coupled relationship between human activities and the natural environment, provides systematic research and solutions for achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, there is currently a lack of comprehensive reviews. This paper summarizes the theoretical framework and research progress of Geography supporting the SDGs and explores its future key research areas. This article indicates that: (1) Geography, in conducting integrated research on human-nature systems and serving regional and global sustainable development processes, has innovatively proposed and developed theoretical frameworks such as social-ecological systems, pattern-process-service-sustainability, metacoupling, and Classification-Coordination-Collaboration. These research frameworks include elements of human-environment system interconnections, process coupling, spatial coupling, and systematic regulation oriented towards SDGs, forming a comprehensive theoretical framework supporting sustainable development research in Geography, also referred to as "sustainable geography theoretical framework". (2) Geography has made positive progress in supporting the United Nations SDGs research in areas such as multi-source data acquisition, localization of indicator systems and multi-scale progress assessment, analysis of inter-target linkage mechanisms, and SDG achievement pathways. Geography provides important theoretical and methodological support for SDG research. (3) Geography and sustainable development-related research mainly focus on climate-ecological crisis response, sustainable utilization of food-energy-water resources, regional development and planning, human well-being and social governance, and the construction of SDG assessment indicators and databases. (4) In future research, there is a need to innovate and develop sub-disciplines of Sustainable Geography, optimize the construction of SDGs indicator systems, develop SDGs assessment and decision-making models, strengthen artificial intelligence geography, deepen research on human-nature system coupling, and promote regional and global sustainable development in the process of advancing innovation in the discipline of Geography.

  • CHEN Yongtai, SHAN Binglin
    Economic geograph. 2025, 45(3): 171-180. https://doi.org/10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2025.03.017

    Government audit, as a key component of the national supervision system, plays a vital role in achieving the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. Based on the panel data of 277 prefecture-level cities in China from 2006 to 2019, this paper employs a spatial econometric model to investigate the spatial boundary and heterogeneity of the spatial spillover effect of government audit on carbon emissions. The research finds that: 1) Government audit not only reduces local carbon emissions but also promotes carbon reduction in adjacent cities. Moreover, this spillover effect shows the characteristics of geographical and economic boundaries, reaching its peak at a geographical distance of 400 km, and there is also an optimal economic distance spillover interval. 2) Heterogeneity analysis reveals that low-level government intervention and high-level energy consumption will make the geographical distance spillover boundary of government audit more significant. 3) Government audit can enhance public environmental awareness in local and neighboring cities, playing a role in coordinated carbon reduction. Based on the above, it proposes that the government can achieve the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals and promote the government audit development by the means of strengthening regional cooperation and coordination, reducing differences in urban characteristics, increasing public participation in supervision, and strengthening sci-tech innovation and R&D.

  • CHEN Huashuai, XIE Keqin, ZHANG Qisheng
    Economic geograph. 2025, 45(3): 129-138. https://doi.org/10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2025.03.013

    Based on the data of Baidu search index of ChatGPT from December 2022 to June 2023 this article analyzes the evolution characteristics and influence mechanism of generative artificial intelligence (GenAI for short) attention degree by the ArcGIS, multivariable linear regression model, and spatial econometric model. The results show that: 1) GenAI attention degree showed the inverted-V evolution trend in China during the research period. 2) GenAI attention degree had the characteristics of regional agglomeration, which initially showed the distribution of a giant block shape with the Shandong Peninsula, the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta as the cores, later evolved into the distribution of a small block shape. 3) Scientific and technological development, corporate development, advanced industrial structure, education level, degree of opening up, digital infrastructure and government support all had a significant positive effect on GenAI attention degree, and in addition to the digital infrastructure, the other influencing factors have the spatial spillover effect, which is the main reason for the regional aggregation of GenAI attention degree. Based on the research conclusions, this article proposes some suggestions that are increasing the technological investment and policy support for high-tech cities, establishing a high-level talent training system, improving relevant regulations and ethical standards to promote the development of GenAI industry and optimize the layout of high-tech industry.

  • YAN Mingyue, YAN Mingtao, ZHANG Ye, ZHAO Jianji
    Economic geograph. 2024, 44(12): 206-217. https://doi.org/10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2024.12.021

    Dynamically grasping the spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of tourism high-quality development has important theoretical significance and practical value for promoting the construction of a strong tourism country. Based on the connotation of tourism high-quality development, this study constructs an evaluation index system encompassing four dimensions: tourism product services, tourism green development, tourism economic vitality, and tourism shared development. Utilizing the game theory combination weighting TOPSIS method, it assess the level of tourism high-quality development in 264 prefecture-level and above cities across China from 2011 to 2020. It also employs the spatial Markov chains, optimal parameter geographic detectors, and spatiotemporal geographically weighted regression to analyze its pattern evolution and influencing factors. The results indicate that: 1) Tourism high-quality development in China's urban areas exhibits a "multi-core agglomeration" spatial distribution characteristic, with hot spots concentrated in the southern coastal areas and cold spots in the central and western regions. The equilibrium entropy results show that 50.4% of cities have significant tourism development potential, primarily located in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangdong, Chongqing, and Anhui. 2) Neighboring regions play a crucial role in local high-quality tourism development, with changes in development levels exhibiting stable path dependence and club convergence effects, making it challenging to achieve leapfrog improvements. 3) Urbanization levels, digital economy, and openness to the outside world are the primary factors influencing tourism high-quality development, with their impacts exhibiting spatiotemporal differentiation. 4) From a geographical perspective, tourism high-quality development is influenced by the comprehensive effects of three geographic natures: The first geographic nature, represented by natural elements, plays a foundational role; The second geographic nature, represented by traditional economic development factors, serves a supporting role; The third geographic nature, represented by new economic factors, takes a leading role. The findings of this study not only deepen the relationship between geographic nature theory and tourism high-quality development, but also provide theoretical support and practical references for advancing tourism high-quality development at the urban scale.

  • Shuqian Qin, Nan Zhang, Peijuan Zhu, Yong Zhang, Chen Zhang
    Tropical Geography. 2025, 45(1): 113-127. https://doi.org/10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.20240095

    Given the real-world challenges in implementing the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), it is important to study and formulate a localized assessment indicator system for each SDGs to monitor the current status of sustainable development at different scales, identify problems, and develop countermeasures. Based on the "economy-society-environment" three-dimensional theoretical framework for sustainable development, this study deconstructs the connotation of SDG11 at the community level, and constructs an urban community sustainability assessment indicator system containing 7 goals and 13 indexes. In addition, by taking 602 sample communities in the built-up regions of Changsha as an example, this study utilizes multi-source big data to comprehensively assess community sustainability as well as the coupling coordination degree of the communities' economic-social-environmental systems. It is found that: (1) During the period 2010-2020, the degree of achievement of community SDG in Changsha falls in the "relative closeness" range, with a "core-periphery" spatial distribution from the high sections to the low ones. (2) Of the 7 goals, housing guarantee, disaster prevention and relief, and environmental governance are progressing well; public transportation and heritage protection are improving significantly; public space is rising slowly; however, planning management is less than ideal. (3) Based on the assessment results of the coupling coordination degree of the communities' economic-social-environmental systems, the sample communities are classified into three types: coordinated development, transitional development, and dysfunctional decline communities. Then, in addition to the zoning results of core, central urban, and suburban areas, a differentiated governance path is proposed. (4) The assessment indicator system has high validity and needs to be further enhanced with a larger number of empirical cases in the future. The research results enrich the theoretical system of community sustainability and technical means of assessment. The empirical part of the study takes the statutory communities in the built-up area of Changsha as the research object and carries out the assessment of community sustainability at three time points: 2010, 2015, and 2020. This help in grasping the temporal and spatial heterogeneity of community sustainability and its law of evolution at the city level and provide scientific support for carrying out refined urban planning and community governance. The data used in the indicator system mainly come from objective big data with temporal continuity, which is conducive for conducting longitudinal continuous tracking research and horizontal comparison research with other cities.

  • Hydrographic Geography and Environmental Research
    WENG Jiaze, YANG Yixin, MU Zhenxia, YANG Long
    Acta Geographica Sinica. 2024, 79(11): 2768-2779. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb202411005

    The physical geography and hydroclimatic conditions in the arid region of in northwestern China leading to diverse flood-generation mechanisms. Under the influence of global and regional climate change, the spatiotemporal variation of floods and flood-generation mechanism in this region is still unclear and restricts flood prevention and mitigation and the implementation of the Belt and Road Initiative in the major regions. Based on the series of the annual maximum flood peak discharge in 58 river basins in the study area from 1961 to 2017, we analyzed and revealed the mechanisms, spatial distribution and interannual variation characteristics of flood in the basin in the past 60 years based on statistical tests and machine learning approaches. The results show that the frequency of extreme floods and the annual maximum flood peak discharge magnitude are increasing, with the maximum increase in the frequency of extreme floods at about 0.84 times/10 years, and the maximum increase in the annual maximum flood peak discharge magnitude at about 29%/10 years compared with the multi-year average, and the largest increase is mainly observed in the eastern Tianshan Mountains and the Qilian Mountains. There are three main flood generation mechanisms, i.e., rain (R), snow (S) and mix (M), the frequency of R and M floods increased significantly, while the frequency of S floods decreased. The contribution of flood mechanisms transformation to the increase of annual maximum flood peak discharge magnitude can reach up to 38%, which is significantly higher than the contribution of a single hydrometeorological factor such as precipitation. The results of this study emphasize the importance of attributing and predicting the changes of flood characteristics in geographically complex region from the perspective of flood mechanisms. Engineering hydrological design in the changing environment also needs to consider the influence of the heterogeneity of flood samples caused by different flood mechanisms on the flood frequency analysis, so as to provide scientific support for flood risk management and response in the basin.

  • "Pole-Axis System" Theory: Review and Practice
    HE Canfei, SHENG Hantian, DAI Xiaomian
    Acta Geographica Sinica. 2024, 79(12): 2972-2990. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb202412003

    In the past 40 years since the theory of "pole-axis system" was put forward, its connotation has been continuously enriched, which has profoundly influenced the theoretical and empirical research in multiple disciplines. The theory has also greatly contributed to China's spatial development of national territory, planning and construction of urban system, and layout of major productive forces. In the new era, China's major regional strategies have profound scientific connotations, yet they still need to overcome blockages such as loose connections within and between urban agglomerations in the course of practice. In this sense, the framework of multi-dimensional proximity from the perspective of evolutionary economic geography can be instructive, since it further focuses on the dimensional linkages of cognitive proximity, technological proximity, relational proximity, and social proximity. Thus, in the context of "dual circulation" strategy, China's territorial space development should be further guided by the theory of "pole-axis system" as well as the framework of multi-dimensional proximity, accelerating the cultivation of new quality productivity, constructing a resilient network of inter-regional industrial collaboration, and comprehensively empowering regional high-quality development.

  • ZHAO Jianji, WANG Yanhua, MIAO Changhong
    Economic geograph. 2025, 45(2): 1-11. https://doi.org/10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2025.02.001

    Global Production Networks (GPNs) and regional development are the hotspots and frontiers of international economic geography. However, it should pay more attention on the local enterprise networks dominated by strategic partners of leading firms (SPLFs) in GPNs. Based on the typical case of Foxconn in Zhengzhou, this paper explains the influence of strategic partners of leading firms on regional industry development by building an analytical framework including power relationships, institutional arrangement and industrial development. The findings can be summarized as follows: 1) After Foxconn landed in Zhengzhou, its power relationship attracted some of its original suppliers to move to Zhengzhou. The local government relies on shaping the industrial development ecology and the preferential policies towards Foxconn which aim to develop the local electronic information industry to attract a large number of non-Apple mobile phone companies to gather in Zhengzhou. 2) The intelligent terminal (mobile phone) industry in Zhengzhou Airport Economy Zone (ZAEZ) has formed a triple enterprise network, which is Foxconn system enterprise network, Foxconn crossover enterprise network, and non-Apple mobile enterprise network guided by local government. 3) The formation of the largest production base of Apple mobile phones and the global intelligent terminal (mobile phone) manufacturing base has accelerated the adjustment of the industrial structure in the undertaking areas. 4) The power relationship of SPLFs in GPNs and the institutional arrangements of local governments played an important role in the agglomeration of intelligent terminal (mobile phone) companies and the formation of enterprise networks. This study characterizes the local enterprise networks of SPLFs in GPNs in latecomer regions and expands the research on power relationships of GPNs.

  • "Pole-Axis System" Theory: Review and Practice
    LU Dadao
    Acta Geographica Sinica. 2024, 79(12): 2951-2960. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb202412001

    This paper reviews the social background of "pole-axis system" theory and the "T-shaped" land development and economic layout framework in China, especially the objective conditions that the country cannot implement another "strategic shift" of national development priorities, and the academic contribution of economic geography serving to national strategic development, as well as some concepts, ideas, knowledge and methods to achieve this goal. According to the significance and the scholars' comments of this theory and model in national practice, this paper describes the growth course and academic responsibility of an economic geographer to inspire the academic community to uphold the rigorous attitude of seeking truth from facts to make greater contributions to the construction of socialism with Chinese characteristics in the new era.

  • QIU Fangdao, XU Xin, LIU Jibin, ZHANG Xinlin
    Economic geograph. 2025, 45(1): 134-144. https://doi.org/10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2025.01.014
    Based on the panel data of Huaihai Economic Zone at county level from 2010 to 2020, this article analyzes the characteristics and evolution mechanism of network structure of industrial carbon emission in Huaihai Economic Zone using complex network analysis method. The results show that: 1) During the study period, industrial carbon emission in Huaihai Economic Zone exhibits a significant spatial correlation, with notable proximity features. The absorption effect of spatial network of industrial carbon emission surpasses its radiation effect. 2) The hierarchy of the network decreases, and shows the evolution trend of the pyramidal network hierarchy structure with Xuzhou as the core. The network type is heterogeneous network, and the high-level connections increase. The agglomeration of the network decreases, the agglomeration effect among the node counties decreases, and the overall network is scattered. 3) Spatial adjacency, level of economic development, industrial carbon emission intensity, technical level and level of opening to the outside world have significant effects on the formation of industrial carbon emission network. Therefore, optimizing the spatial network structure, formulating differentiated industrial emission reduction plans, and establishing regional collaborative emission reduction mechanisms are the main ways to promote the coordinated development of low-carbon and green industries in Huaihai Economic Zone.
  • Ting Li, Zhiwen Li, Dengshuai Chen, Huixia Li, Haofan Xu
    Tropical Geography. 2024, 44(12): 2278-2291. https://doi.org/10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.20240636

    Against the background of ecological civilization construction, optimizing the control of territorial spatial zoning has become an important issue in maintaining regional ecological security. Clarifying different ecological processes and mechanisms within and among different ecological functional zones is of great practical significance for formulating refined spatial ecological management strategies. So far, research studies have focused on delineating ecological functional zones and analyzing linear processes and mechanisms within them, with little discussion on the differences in internal mechanisms and nonlinear characteristics of different ecological functional zones. Thus, it is necessary to elucidate key differences in the internal mechanisms and nonlinear threshold effects among different ecological functional zones to provide a scientific basis for establishing a territorial spatial zoning management system. In this study, the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-Offs model was used to evaluate ecosystem services in the Pearl River Delta region. Toward this, a self-organizing map was used to identify ecosystem service bundles, and geographically weighted regression and restrictive cubic spline analysis were used to clarify the key differences in trade-off/synergy networks and nonlinear thresholds among different ecosystem service bundles. Based on the results, suggestions for refined zoning and control of ecological spaces in the Pearl River Delta region are proposed. The results showed that: (1) In the Pearl River Delta, five different types of ecosystem service bundles are distributed in a circular pattern in space from the central to the surrounding areas: the urban-ecological, ecological-scarcity, agricultural-ecological, ecological-cooling, and ecological-conservation types. The ecological-conservation type accounted for 45.38% (the largest proportion), ecological-cooling for 32.80%, and ecological-scarcity for 10.73% of ecosystem service bundles; whereas neither the agricultural-ecological nor urban-ecological types accounted for more than 10%. (2) In the trade-off/synergy network of different ecosystem service bundles, the synergistic relationship between carbon storage and urban cooling remained stable, whereas the relationships between other ecosystem services showed significant differences. Among the five bundles, the trade-off/synergy interaction of the urban-ecological type was the strongest, followed by that of the agricultural-ecological and ecological-conservation types, whereas that of the ecological-cooling and ecological-scarcity types were relatively weak. (3) There were significant differences in the nonlinear threshold effects between the Multiple Ecosystem Services Landscape Index (MESLI) and six identified driving factors in the different ecosystem service bundles. In the ecological conservation and ecological scarcity types, the MESLI exhibited nonlinear relationships with all six factors and clear critical thresholds. The MESLIs of the agricultural ecological and ecological cooling types exhibited nonlinear relationships with elevation, night light, gross domestic product density, and population density, whereas that of the urban ecological type only exhibited nonlinear relationships with elevation and population density. (4) We suggest that decision makers use nonlinear thresholds as references to demarcate key control areas for each ecosystem service bundle, clarify their dominant mechanisms based on trade-off/synergy networks, and develop different control indicators in a targeted manner. In conclusion. this study identified key differences in trade-off/synergy networks and nonlinear threshold effects among different ecosystem service bundles and explored different ecological zoning and control strategies for the Pearl River Delta region, providing a theoretical basis and indicator references for refined management of territorial spaces in urban agglomeration areas.

  • SHU Xiaolin, SHAN Shuxing, MIN Zhesi, ZHANG Qianxi, LIU Dongqiang
    Economic geograph. 2025, 45(1): 225-235. https://doi.org/10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2025.01.023
    It is of great practical significance to explore the influence mechanism of sports culture tourism consumption behavior in net-popular tourism destinations to promote the inheritance and innovation of ethnic culture, boost "rural revitalization" and enhance residents' happiness. Based on the stimulus-organism-response (SOR) theory and the theory of planned behavior, this paper constructs an influence mechanism model of sports cultural tourism consumption behavior of Village Basketball Game and Village Super League in Guizhou, which takes sports values, place attachment, and media communication as independent variables, attitudes, subjective norms, and perceived behavioral control as mediating variables, and tourism intention and tourism behavior as dependent variables. It uses the structural equation model to test the research hypotheses. The results indicate that: 1) The average value of tourists' intentions and behaviors towards sports cultural tourism consumption are 4.48 and 4.58 respectively, both showing a positive tendency. 2) Place attachment and media communication have significant positive impacts on potential tourists' attitudes, subjective norms, and perceived behavioral control. These factors indirectly influence tourists' intentions towards sports cultural tourism through perceived behavioral control, leading to the actualization of such behaviors. 3) Potential tourists' subjective norms and perceived behavioral control significantly positively influence their intentions towards sports cultural tourism, which in turn influences their sports cultural tourism behavior. Research suggests that the consumption behaviors of sports cultural tourism in the Village Basketball Game and Village Super League of Guizhou are primarily driven by "assembling for the media" and "coming for the destination, " rather than "gathering for the competition". The rural events serve as a platform for local cultural performances and exchanges.
  • Qing Liu, Guofeng Wu, Qian Yao, Hanqing Xu, Yiying Niu, Xuchen Wei, Jun Wang, Mengya Li
    Tropical Geography. 2025, 45(4): 527-539. https://doi.org/10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.20240785

    Coastal cities are highly vulnerable to compound flooding in which multiple flood drivers interact via complex nonlinear mechanisms under climate change. Although numerous studies have focused on individual flood drivers, integrated analyses of the spatiotemporal variations and compound effects remain limited. This study applied a high-resolution MRI-AGCM3-2-S climate model and the TempestExtremes tracking algorithm to construct a 6-hourly Tropical Cyclone (TC) track dataset affecting Haikou from 1960 to 2099. Storm tides during the TCs were simulated using the D-Flow FM model, whereas upstream river discharges were modeled with CaMa-Flood, incorporating climate-model-derived runoff data. Using rainfall data from the climate model, we applied the peak-over-threshold method and extreme value analysis to systematically assess changes in storm tides, rainfall, and upstream discharge under climate change. These analyses guided the construction of compound flood scenarios for simulating extreme events. Using a compound flood simulation model, we assessed the hazards under 10-year and 50-year Return Periods (RPs) for historical (1960–2014) and future (2015–2099) periods. Results indicate that significant differences exist in the compound flood characteristics between historical and future periods. In the 90th percentile scenario, all three flood drivers exhibited higher future thresholds, suggesting an increased risk of compound extreme flood events. The probability of concurrent heavy rainfall and high discharge events increased by 40.9%, whereas the probability of simultaneous high storm surge and high discharge events increased by 58.3%. Despite the potential reduction in extreme event intensity, the frequency of compounding events has increased significantly. Extreme value analysis revealed that extreme storm surges and upstream discharge events became more severe and extreme rainfall events showed a decreasing trend. For high RPs (e.g., 50-year events), the projected storm tides and upstream discharges significantly exceeded historical levels. Specifically, projected increases in storm surge levels (+0.24 m under 50-year RP) and upstream discharge (+1,271.13 m³/s) are offset by a 16.5% decline in 100-year accumulated rainfall for Haikou when compared to historical period. Third, compound flood simulations showed that under the 10-year RP scenario, the total inundation area slightly increased, but the flood volume and maximum depth decreased, indicating the stabilization of the flood hazard. However, under the 50-year RP scenario, both the inundation area and flood volume increased substantially, with the area experiencing flood depths greater than 3 m expanding by 56.5%. The most severe flooding occurred along the northern coastal areas and banks of the Nandu River, where the inundation extent and flood severity increased markedly. These findings provide valuable insights for flood risk assessments and adaptive planning in coastal cities facing intensifying climate-induced hazards.

  • OUYANG Xiao, WEI Xiao, XIE Hualin, CHEN Jian
    Economic geograph. 2025, 45(1): 177-183. https://doi.org/10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2025.01.018
    Building resilient territorial space is a new idea to improve regional ecological risk management. Therefore, how to improve the ecological resilience of territorial space from the aspects of absorption, recovery or conversion capacity is a key issue that needs to be solved in the management of ecological risks of territorial space. This study sorted out the connotation and evaluation methods of territory space ecological resilience, and summarized its theoretical framework, measurement model, and research needs. It was indicated that different subjects had different focuses on the study of spatial ecological resilience of the national territory, the discipline of geographical science focused on the research of ecological resilience at the regional scale, emphasized on the coupling with society-nature, while the discipline of ecology payed more attention to the assessment of homeostatic changes of the ecosystem itself. Domestic studies focused on the three dimensions of resistance, resilience and adaptability to measure ecological resilience. Foreign studies, on the other hand, focused more on urban construction and disaster prevention and mitigation from the perspective of resilience. Based on the above, it proposed three key research directions of ecological resilience in territorial space: 1) A new breakthrough of dynamic measurement of ecological resilience is proposed based on mechanism analysis. 2) Guided by the coupling of society-nature, it should promote the multi-factor, multi-level and multi-objective mechanism research. 3) Guided by ecological restoration, it should strengthen multidisciplinary integration and explore the application model of ecological resilience in territorial space, so as to provide a new way for realizing the modernization of harmonious coexistence between man and nature.
  • Regional Development Strategy
    SUN Jiuwen, JIANG Zhi, HU Junyan
    Acta Geographica Sinica. 2024, 79(12): 3110-3128. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb202412012

    High-quality development of the marine economy is a key task for accelerating the construction of a maritime power, so as to realize Chinese-style modernization. This paper defines the scientific connotation of marine economy and its high-quality development. Based on the three major systems of marine economy and the five new development concepts, this paper synthesizes the high-quality development index of marine economy by means of vertical and horizontal separation grade method and fixed-base efficiency coefficient method. Then, with the help of the method of Dagum Gini coefficient, Markov matrix, standard deviation ellipse and geographic detector, spatio-temporal evolution and driving factors of high-quality development in coastal areas are systematically discussed. The results show that: (1) The continuous improvement of the comprehensive level of high-quality marine economic development is due to the collaborative optimization of marine economic, social and environmental systems. Guangdong, Shandong, Shanghai, Jiangsu and Zhejiang are key regions leading the improvement of marine economic quality and efficiency. (2) The quality of marine economic development has obvious spatial and temporal differences. To be specific, there is a large gap within the southern blue economic circle, and the gap between the northern and eastern blue economic circles is also the most prominent. (3) The high-quality development of marine economy is moving forward in twists and turns. In terms of time, most provinces have the power to advance to a higher level, but the difficulty of transition is gradually increasing; In terms of space, the center of gravity of the marine economy's geographical pattern is always located in the Yangtze River Delta, forming a steady-state spatial structure of "one core and two wings". (4) The optimization of the quality of marine economy is the result of the joint action of the new development concept. After the introduction of the strategy of maritime power, innovation empowerment has replaced opening-up as the first driving force. In order to steadily promote the high-quality development of the marine economy at a higher level, it is necessary to implement the new development concept, which include give full play to the leading role of the blue economic zone, enhance the core competitiveness of the marine industry, build a free trade port with high standards, promote the cause of revitalizing the sea through science and education to cultivate new quality productive forces, deepen the construction of marine ecological civilization as well as clarify the key tasks of coastal areas. In this way, the sound operation of the marine economic, social and environmental systems tend to be promoted, completing the glorious mission of transforming to a maritime power.

  • Theory and Methodology Exploration
    CHEN Jieqi, LU Lin, LU Xingfu
    Acta Geographica Sinica. 2024, 79(11): 2721-2738. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb202411002

    Rural development in the new era has ushered in material development opportunities but it is still faced with significant problems of imbalance and inadequacy. Rural social innovation is not only an important endogenous driving force to promote socioeconomic development and reform, but also a key force to break the dual "exogenous-endogenous" structure in rural areas, realize their neo-endogenous development, and promote the full implementation of the rural revitalization strategy to build a livable, viable, and beautiful countryside. This study interprets the conceptual characteristics of social innovation and rural social innovation in the theoretical perspective, sorts out the practical evolution of rural social innovation at home and abroad, explains the internal logic of rural social innovation and rural revitalization in the new era, summarizes the pathway for the realization of rural social innovation to promote rural revitalization, and looks ahead to the future key research areas of rural social innovation. The results show that the essence of rural social innovation lies in enhancing the active capabilities of rural society to achieve sustainable social benefits and promote rural sustainable development. From the perspective of social innovation theory, China's rural development has gone through an initial trial stage, a tortuous exploratory stage, a formal practice stage, and an innovative development stage. Rural social innovation plays a positive role in promoting rural revitalization and neo-endogenous development through innovation initiatives, processes, representation, and goals. In addition, rural revitalization can also react to and strengthen rural social innovation. According to the strategic and practical needs of rural revitalization, one method for promoting rural revitalization through rural social innovation is to reconstruct the relationships among the government, markets, and society. Future research into rural social innovation in the new era should be focused on examining its logical evolution and theoretical exploration, identifying its key elements and invisible thresholds, summarizing its network evolution and driving mechanism, and realizing its dynamic tracking and effect evaluations to provide theoretical guidance and a practical reference for the neo-endogenous development of rural revitalization in China.

  • "Pole-Axis System" Theory: Review and Practice
    CAO Weidong, CAO Ji, ZHANG Wenrui, YUE Wenbo, CAO Yuhong
    Acta Geographica Sinica. 2024, 79(12): 3030-3049. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb202412007

    Major productive forces are crucial to the country's long-term stability and sustained prosperity, and are also a powerful means of improving economic efficiency, promoting coordinated regional development, and strengthening international competitiveness. This paper summarizes the layout of China's major productive forces and their spatial patterns in different periods by collecting multi-source data such as historical documents, regional socio-economic statistical data and remote sensing of light, and borrowing technical methods such as MCR model, kernel density analysis and standard deviation ellipse, etc. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) The layout of China's major productive forces follows the law of economic geography agglomeration and diffusion cycle evolution, and has experienced the evolution of balanced development - decentralised development - centralised development - coordinated development-high-quality complementary development. This is manifested in the concentration of 156 projects to a few geographic spaces in the western region of China, dispersion in the central and western regions during the Third Front Movement, concentration along the eastern coast, and a gradient advancement toward the inland. However, the focus of development has always been in the southeast region along the Hu Huanyong line. (2) The results of the spatial pattern simulation of major productive forces follow the theory of regional development stages. During China's high-level development process, different spatial patterns have emerged successively: points (core poles), point-axis, and point-axis system (network), forming a multi-level pole-axis system with a "T" main framework along the coast and the Yangtze River, supplemented by other central cities and transportation arteries, in order to promote the balanced development of territorial space. (3) The main influencing factors of the development layout of China's major productive forces vary from time to time, with the geo-environment influencing the spatial layout in the early stage, and then the combined force of national strategies, policies and markets; GTWR further reveals that there is significant spatial and temporal heterogeneity in the factors influencing the development layout. The GTWR further reveals that there is significant spatial and temporal heterogeneity in the factors affecting its development layout. This study focuses on the layout and spatial patterns of the major productive forces, which can provide practical references for optimizing the layout of major productive forces and constructing a regional economic layout and national spatial system with complementary advantages and high-quality development.

  • LUAN Xinchen, HUANG Yongyuan, ZHU Shengjun, YANG Bofei
    Economic geograph. 2024, 44(11): 1-12. https://doi.org/10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2024.11.001

    The uneven spatial distribution and agglomeration of economic geographic space is the normal state,the agglomeration advantages of the core areas makes the innovation research in core areas become the mainstream,innovation in peripheral regions is often neglected and underestimated. However,in recent years, there has been a rise in innovative activity in peripheral regions, which has attracted the attention and explanation of academic circles. The current research investigates innovation in peripheral regions from multidisciplinary perspectives. However, there is still no consensus on the conceptual definition,innovation trajectories,and other related aspects. Additionally,there is no systematic literature review or mechanism explanation. Therefore,this paper conducts a comprehensive examination of innovation in peripheral regions,elucidating the meaning of "periphery", defining the behavior of "innovation in peripheral regions", and creatively constructs an analytical framework to comprehend the trajectories of innovation in peripheral regions via "internal,external,and systemic innovation". Innovation in peripheral regions necessitates the synchronized alignment of regional initiative,the external environment,and regional capability. In addition to exploring its own capabilities and taking proactive measures to achieve "internal innovation",it also needs to incorporate new external knowledge to achieve "external innovation" and embed itself into the system to reach multi-scale "systemic innovation".

  • CAO Genrong, LIU Yang, SHANG Jing, LIAO Rong, ZHANG Pengbo
    Economic geograph. 2025, 45(1): 58-66. https://doi.org/10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2025.01.007
    The study of human-land relationship has great urgency and realistic significance to our country. Based on the framework of human-land relationship, and the data of national land change survey and national census, this paper evaluates the coordination degree between urban construction land expansion and urban population growth in 337 cities at prefecture level and above from 2010 to 2020. The results show that: 1) From the perspective of spatial distribution, China's urban population continues to converge to the central node cities in the strategic pattern of "two horizontal and three vertical" urbanization, and mainly concentrates in the eastern area of Hu Huanyong Line. 2) Coordination between regional urban construction land and urban population in China is not strong, the speed of land urbanization is faster than the speed of population urbanization, and some cities show the phenomenon of "the reduction of population urbanization and the increase of land urbanization". 3) The expansion rate of urban construction land is much faster than the growth rate of urban population in urban agglomerations of Harbin-Changchun, the Central and Southern Liaoning, the Shandong Peninsula and the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. 4) The human-land relationship in the core cities of the metropolitan areas is more coordinated than that in the peripheral cities. The expansion rate of urban construction land in Wuhan metropolitan area is much faster than the growth rate of urban population。
  • Li Xiuyuan, Guo Shu
    GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCE. 2025, 45(5): 1071-1082. https://doi.org/10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.20240570

    Industrial heritage is an important resource and cultural carrier of industrial tourism. How to realize the organic integration between industrial heritage and tourism utilization has become an urgent problem for the sustainable development of industrial heritage. In this paper, industrial heritage in northeast China is selected as the research object, and ArcGIS spatial analysis, concentration index and resource dominance are used to analyze its spatial distribution characteristics, and the relationship between industrial heritage resources and tourism utilization is discussed. The following conclusions are drawn: Industrial heritage in northeast China is dominated by heavy industry and less light industry, and the type distribution is significantly different among provinces. The spatial distribution type of industrial heritage in northeast China is clustered, and it shows an obvious unbalanced structure at city scale. The superiority degree of industrial heritage resources in northeast China is quite different, which mainly has the distribution characteristics of polar core area, highly dense area, sub-dense area and sparse area. Based on this, the author puts forward the utilization methods of industrial heritage tourism from the aspects of promoting the overall balanced development of industrial heritage resources, accelerating the transformation of industrial heritage resources into products, and promoting the brand building of industrial heritage resources products, so as to provide reference for the sustainable development and utilization of industrial heritage.The industrial heritage resources in northeast China exhibit spatial distribution differences, low levels of resource to product conversion, and weak brand effects. Based on this, promote the overall balanced development of industrial heritage resources in the region, form an effective connection and interaction of regional industries with “industrial culture+”, and enhance the potential and efficiency of linkage; Accelerate the transformation of industrial heritage resources into products, and in the process of preserving, changing, and restructuring the functions of various industrial heritage resources, adapt to the needs of urban functional development, and promote the cross-border integration of cultural and tourism resources; Promote the branding of industrial heritage resource products, fully explore industrial cultural elements in the branding of various industrial heritage resources, and propose industrial heritage tourism utilization methods in terms of creating themed, diverse, and experiential industrial tourism products, providing reference for the sustainable development and utilization of industrial heritage.

  • WANG Zhuo, HE Jinting, GONG Yue
    Economic geograph. 2024, 44(11): 52-61. https://doi.org/10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2024.11.006

    Housing is an important part of family assets and an important factor that represents the differentiation of social groups. Based on the data of the China Family Panel Studies from 2010 to 2018, this study reveals the spatio-temporal evolution of the housing class of Chinese urban households, and explores the influencing factors of the housing class using the panel multiple Logit regression. The analysis shows that: 1) The housing class of Chinese urban households presented an "olive-shaped" structure generally, urban households which have one house accounts for the main part, urban households which have no house, two or more houses accounts for a relatively small part. The proportion of urban households which have two or more houses shows an obvious growing trend. 2) In terms of geography, urban households which have no house or one house show no obvious spatial agglomeration. Urban households which have two or more houses shows a polarized spatial distribution pattern,and over time it has shifted from the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region to the Yangtze River Basin. 3) In the theory of family life cycle, family size, family annual income, marriage and age have positive impacts on housing class upward-transition. And by adding institutional variables and market variables into the interaction model, both the power extension theory and the market transformation theory are verified. In addition,the average price of provincial commercial housing is also an important factor affecting the housing class.

  • TANG Disha, SHI Lei, WANG Jielin, LIU Simian
    Economic geograph. 2025, 45(1): 87-99. https://doi.org/10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2025.01.010
    Taking 122 counties in Hunan Province as an example, this paper builds an index system for residents' living consumption demand, and uses the Moore index to evaluate it. It uses GWR model to analyze the influence of 11 factors of fiscal expenditure structure and social economic structure on the life quality of residents, so as to deconstruct the influence mechanism of spatial differentiation. The results show that: 1) There is an obvious trend of stratification of the living consumption expenditure of residents in counties of Hunan Province, and the development security expenditure has become the dominant expenditure type of residents' consumption expenditure. At the same time, there are significant differences in the structure of residents’ consumption expenditure among counties, and the basic security expenditure in space decreases from the west of Hunan to the east of Hunan, while the development security expenditure decreases from the east of Hunan to the west of Hunan. 2) The life quality of residents in Hunan Province varies significantly, and the value range of the quality index evaluation is [0.295,6.611]. The characteristics of spatial agglomeration are obvious and show a trend of decreasing gradually from the east of Hunan to the west of Hunan. 3) Economic fiscal expenditure has the greatest ability to improve the life quality of residents in Hunan Province, and shows the strip-shape spatial distribution which decreases from the middle of Hunan to the east and the west of Hunan. The positive influence capacity of service fiscal expenditure, people's livelihood fiscal expenditure, human capital fiscal expenditure and maintenance fiscal expenditure decrease successively, and all show a trend of differentiated spatial mode change. The ability of economic development difference positively affects the life quality of residents in Hunan Province and shows the decreasing trend from the east of Hunan to the west of Hunan. The positive improvement ability of the differences in industrial structure, educational equity, employment level and market size decreases successively.
  • Hydrographic Geography and Environmental Research
    LYU Shaoyan, TANG Yin, TANG Qiuhong, LI Haiming, XIAO Han, XIE Dingsheng
    Acta Geographica Sinica. 2024, 79(11): 2811-2829. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb202411008

    Streamflow from the Lena River is one of the major sources of freshwater in the Arctic Ocean and has a significant impact on the Arctic atmosphere, sea ice thermal processes and ocean thermohaline circulation. In recent years, streamflow in the Lena River basin is changing significantly with intensified global warming. In order to investigate the response of streamflow to climate change in the Lena River basin, the study firstly analyzed the trends of precipitation, air temperature and streamflow in the basin from 1975 to 2014 using the M-K trend test. Then, we constructed the abcd-cr hydrological model by considering a coupled snowmelt and permafrost module. Based on the abcd-cr model, we simulated climatic scenarios and quantitatively estimated the relative changes of annual and seasonal streamflow and the elasticities of annual and seasonal streamflow to changes in air temperature and precipitation respected to different climate scenarios. Results showed that: (1) Both the annual and seasonal air temperatures in the Lena River showed increasing trends from 1975 to 2014; The annual, summer, and autumn precipitation presented increasing trends while the spring and winter precipitation showed decreasing trends; The annual, spring, autumn, and winter streamflow had significant increasing trends while the summer streamflow showed a non-significant decreasing trend. (2) The climate scenario simulation results quantified the variations in annual and seasonal streamflow resulting from changes in precipitation and air temperature. (3) The results of sensitivity analysis showed that annual streamflow increases with the increase of precipitation and decreases with the increase of air temperature; The impact of precipitation change on seasonal streamflow is similar to that of annual streamflow change. However, the impacts of air temperature varied in different seasons. Specifically, the relative change of summer streamflow is the largest, while that of winter streamflow is the smallest. The impact of air temperature on seasonal streamflow is more complex than that of annual streamflow due to the interactions between seasonal evaporation and freeze-thaw processes. With increasing air temperature, spring streamflow increases, while streamflow in other seasons decreases.

  • "Pole-Axis System" Theory: Review and Practice
    LIU Yungang, LIU Xuanyu, WANG Yuqu
    Acta Geographica Sinica. 2024, 79(12): 3050-3062. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb202412008

    Owing to the long-standing land-sea division, the regional development theory represented by the pole-axis system has conducted insufficient research on the development potential of the land-sea transition zone and even the marine space. In this context, this paper re-explores the marine orientation of the "pole-axis system" theory and investigates the application of the pole-axis system beyond the land-based thinking. Specifically, taking the currently highly-regarded development of the Hainan Free Trade Port (HFTP) as an example, it commences from the general laws of island economies, traces the geographical relationships and development history of Hainan Island, and based on the expansion of the "pole-axis system" theory, deliberates on the development direction and ideas of the HFTP. This paper emphasizes that: (1) The spatial metaphor of isolation and connectivity of islands within the context of the pole-axis system are mutually reinforcing and compatible, and the cultivation and development of the pole-axis system of the HFTP need to take into account the synergetic effects of the island's geographical relationships at different spatial scales, namely the global, national, regional, and local levels. (2) The pole-axis system of HFTP highlights the role of "flow" rather than geographical proximity in the growth of islands and island clusters. The focus on island-island relationships needs to shift from centrality to the exploration of node attributes, while the focus on land-island relationships needs to change from hierarchy to functional complementarity. (3) The HFTP needs to establish an economic and industrial composite pole-axis system that integrates land, island, and sea, and deepen the intrinsic driving force for the coordinated development of different geographic units through the bidirectional interaction of "defining development based on the sea" and "leaning on the land towards the sea". This study hopes to contribute to enriching and enhancing the marine orientation of the "pole-axis system" theory and deepening the study of islands, including the HFTP, other island economies, and the entire island.

  • Theory and Methodology Exploration
    YANG Peng, HUANG Jie, WANG Jiaoe, XIAO Ling
    Acta Geographica Sinica. 2024, 79(11): 2739-2753. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb202411003

    The optimal allocation and scientific management of rural logistics resources is the key to unblock the domestic transportation cycle, and it is also the focus of the construction of a powerful transportation country and the integration of urban and rural transportation. From two perspectives of driving and walking, this study constructs a research framework for the evaluation of rural logistics terminal distribution with accessibility and equity. This study analyzes the accessibility of 440000 administrative villages in China and their nearest rural logistics terminal facilities. By using the online map tool, this study reveals the spatial distribution pattern and regional differences of rural logistics terminal facilities, and evaluates the spatial equity of rural logistics terminal facilities at the county level with Lorenz curves and Gini coefficients. The results show that: (1) Accessibility of rural logistics terminal facilities presents significant regional difference, and it declines from the coast to the interior, which is consistent with the socio-economic development pattern in China. (2) Accessibility of logistics terminal facilities presents significant urban-rural differences. According to the comparative analysis of travel distance, travel time, and travel modes, the urban-rural differences have been widened on travel time and by walking. (3) Based on the analysis with rural population distribution, the distribution of rural logistics terminal facilities presents the transport-related exclusion. The above findings can provide scientific support for the scientific layout of rural logistics terminal facilities so that we could promote the people-oriented integrated development of urban and rural transportation, and assist rural revitalization, so as to achieve common prosperity.

  • Chen Zhang, Nan Zhang, Peijuan Zhu, Shuqian Qin, Yong Zhang
    Tropical Geography. 2025, 45(1): 128-142. https://doi.org/10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.20240032

    Urban Blue-Green Spaces (UBGS) are material carriers that support public life and expand social interactions. It is also a natural place to realize the spatial publicness. In the context of the ecological civilization, China has made specific achievements in constructing a UBGS. However, optimizing its spatial structure and improving the quality of the human environment is only the beginning. Enhancing its publicness and thus strengthening social cohesion, enriching cultural diversity, cultivating the public spirit, and realizing the well-being of humankind on a broader scale is the ultimate goal of UBGS. Drawing on the theories of the human-land relationship and landscape ecology, we established an evaluation system for UBGS publicness based on the "element-function-structure" framework. We used Changsha as an example to explore the UBGS publicness pattern characteristics and influencing factors. The study results are as follows: 1) A UBGS with high publicness should have three significant characteristics: accessible elements, selectable functions, and shared structures, which promote and expand public life and support other social connections. 2) The comprehensive indicator of UBGS publicness in Changsha showed a circular pattern, decreasing from the core to the periphery and a fan-shaped expansion relying on the water system. Regarding element accessibility, spatial accessibility was high in the core area and low in the suburbs. In contrast, quantity adequacy was low in the core area and high in the suburbs. In terms of functional selectivity, group inclusiveness was low along the Xiangjiang River in the core and center areas and lower on the east bank than on the west bank, whereas functional diversity was high in the core area and low in the suburban areas. In terms of structural connectivity and shareability, interactive connectivity shows a high core area, a low peri-urban area, and a wedge-shaped interlocking circle pattern in the transition zone between the core area and the peri-urban area, accompanied by a high belt characteristic along the scenic belt; the landscape connectivity shows a low core area, a high peri-urban area, and a pattern characteristic of the west bank of the Xiangjiang River that is higher than that of the east bank. 3) Social demand, economic boosts, and environmental support promote the spatial heterogeneity of the UBGS publicness. Based on the research results, improving the publicness of the UBGS in Changsha can be approached from the following aspects: first, increasing funding and policy support for the construction of the UBGS, expanding its scale, and improving its quality. Second, respecting the spatial distribution characteristics and activity patterns of the public and optimize the functional organization of the UBGS and the surrounding environment. Third, when constructing urban ecosystems, road systems, greenway systems, and public service facility systems, the construction of the UBGS should be considered comprehensively, and the coupling relationship between the UBGS and other urban subsystems should be enhanced. This study constructed a theoretical framework and evaluation system for assessing UBGS publicness and evaluated UBGS publicness on an urban scale. The results of this evaluation will promote the construction of livable cities and the implementation of the concept of sustainable urban development.

  • Regional Development Strategy
    YE Chao, LUO Shen
    Acta Geographica Sinica. 2024, 79(12): 3095-3109. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb202412011

    China is deeply interwoven with the world, which has an important impact on the economic geographical pattern of Chinese-style modernization. The economic geographical pattern of Chinese-style modernization is mainly configurated by three relations: relations between urban and rural areas, relations between the eastern and western regions, and relations between China and foreign countries. It is the foundation of the new journey of comprehensively building a modern socialist country. Using strategic-relational approach, this paper analyzes the characteristics of pattern evolution dialectically from the perspective of political party discourse and multi-scale spatial characteristics. After 1840, the capitalist world system disintegrated China's unified pattern, and the regional imbalance and rural-urban gap became prominent in China. At the beginning of the 20th century, the imbalance and gaps intensified in China amid the world's multipolar conflicts. The Communist Party of China created the path of the rural areas to encircle the cities and won the victory of the Chinese revolution, which also changed the world pattern. After 1949, under the Cold War, China began to embark on the path of independently building socialism with Chinese characteristics. The relations between urban and rural areas, between eastern and western regions, between China and foreign countries are shifting to balance. Since the reform and opening-up in the late 1970s, globalization and multi-polarization have propelled the transformation of Chinese-style modernization. The imbalance has shifted from worsening to easing, and China has quickly become an important pole in the world. The world is undergoing profound transformation unseen in a century, uneven development between urban and rural areas, between the eastern and western regions, between China and foreign countries is fraught with uncertainties. Coordinating the three relations is the key to the realization of Chinese-style modernization. China-world relations have a U-shaped cycle of 50 years, regional relations play an intermediary role, and rural-urban relations are the easiest to change. It is necessary to strengthen the research of the economic geographical pattern of modernization, and integrate the three relations into a new development pattern. The H-shaped pattern should integrate spatial development strategies and reshape an open oriented, inside-out pattern through institutional innovation and the empowerment of talent resources.

  • Talent and Education
    YAN Jiyao, ZHAO Yuan, TAN Wanli, XIONG Xiaoyan, ZHAO Lifen
    Acta Geographica Sinica. 2024, 79(12): 3197-3209. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb202412017

    Based on the data from childcare institutions released by the National Health Commission in June 2024, this study examines the spatial differentiation of childcare institutions across China using four provincial-level cities and 332 prefecture-level regions. The research employs ArcGIS spatial analysis methods and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) to uncover the influencing factors behind this spatial variation. Key findings include: (1) Childcare institutions in China predominantly exhibit a clustered distribution, characterized by a greater concentration in the east and sparser distribution in the west. This pattern manifests as "large clusters and small dispersions," with significant clusters forming in the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, and Bohai Rim, and numerous monocentric clusters centered around provincial capitals and major cities. (2) The number of childcare institutions is positively correlated with the tier of the city. Cities with fewer childcare facilities are numerous and spread out, primarily located in the western and northeastern regions. In contrast, cities with a larger number of institutions are mainly situated in the eastern coastal areas and major central-western cities such as Chengdu, Chongqing, Hefei, and Zhengzhou. (3) The population of children aged 0-4 years plays a decisive role in the spatial distribution of childcare institutions. Per capita disposable income of urban residents, the labor participation rate, and average household size serve as auxiliary factors influencing this spatial variation. While the average household size generally has a negative influence, other factors positively affect the distribution. As city tiers decrease, the impact of these auxiliary factors lessens, with minimal influence on fifth-tier cities. In conclusion, the study offers targeted recommendations for the development of China's childcare services industry.